By: Keith Nelson Jr (@JusAire)
WELCOME TO THE DEBUT OF "THE NEXT NEW", AN ARTICLE SERIES WHICH USES THE NEWS TO PREDICT THE NEWS.
Under the 1st seven years of NFL Commissioner Roger Gooddell’s eight year tenure, the NFL’s annual revenue has increased from $6.5 billion (2006) to $9.2 billion (2013). Thanks in part to Gooddell’s foresight, the NFL signed a historic nine year, $27 billion TV deal with NBC, FOX and CBS with ESPN contributing $15 billion over seven years. As a commissioner of a non-profit trade association like the NFL is, he has been phenomenal at “promoting the interest of its 32 member club”.
By the end of 2014, Roger Gooddell will be fired as NFL Commissioner.
The last few months for Roger Gooddell resembles a paternity test on Maury that has gone hilariously wrong. You said a two game suspension was 1. An appropriate punishment for domestic violence and 2. Justifiably enforced even though you admit Ray Rice was “ambiguous” in his retelling of the details. That was a lie. You said no one at the NFL saw the elevator video of Rice striking his wife. That was a lie. You even said the NFL asking Revel hotel DIRECTLY for the elevator footage would be illegal. AND THAT WAS A LIE. If TMZ’s long Time Warner cash arm reaches into that law enforcement’s phone and liberates the voicemail of that NFL employee confirming the retrieval of the footage and releases it, the hammer will fall hard.
Goodell has the National Organization for Women, a former FBI agent and even Congress either asking for his resignation, questioning his creditability or investigating the manner in which he handled the Ray Rice domestic violence investigation. Goodell publicly informed CBS that the NFL “ assumed” that a hotel in the 21st century had a camera in its elevator that taped Ray Rice striking his wife but no one in the NFL, to his knowledge, had viewed the tape. At least when George W. Bush Jr illegaly started a war in Iraq, he admitted to seeing documents, even if they were faulty. Even ESPN analysts are using Gooddell to bash Gooddell:
This is true. However, the owners whom have pledged their undying support for Gooddell have done so under the presupposition neither that Gooddell, nor anyone at the NFL viewed the elevator footage. Giants’ coach Mara even went as far as to proclaim Gooddell never saw the footage only to join an "independent investigation" of the NFL headed by former FBI director Robert S. Mueller as an overseer mere hours and a potentially smoking gun of an Associated Press report later. Also, the Gooddell money train could be derailed by the legal ramifications and precedents set.
From 2007 to 2011 (the year the NFL signed the historic TV deal), the NFL experienced yearly declines in NFL game attendance. On September 30th, the FCC will vote on removing the 40 year old blackout rule which stipulates that no cable operator can televise games that have not sold 85% of the tickets. With the investigation and the FCC chairman Tom Wheeler writing “the NFL no longer needs the government’s help to remain viable”, that vote will probably go against the NFL which has threatened to put games on cable and off free TV channels. The incentive for fans to spend nearly $500 for a family of four to attend a football game because it may be blacked out is soon to be eradicated. That’s approximately 1/4th of the NFL’s annual revenue in jeopardy and with both Sunday Night Football and Monday Night Football experiencing drops in ratings, Gooddell’s may soon become a financial liability to the NFL's 31 private companies(the Green Bay Packers are the only publicly owned team in the NFL, but they'd be fucked too.)
To top it all off and presumably corner the NFL owners into a public relations nightmare, Ray Rice could sue the NFL and be reinstated into the league. The NFL’s collective bargaining agreement, which nearly cost fans part of the 2011 NFL season, stipulates that the commissioner can unilaterally impose punishments for off field incidents that violate the league’s personal conduct policy. However, the league cannot punish a player for the same offense twice unless new evidence materialized after rendering the initial judgement. That’s probably why the NFL Players Association did not receive the NFL’s formal explanation of Rice’s suspension two days after the punishment was imposed. While the NFLPA has not explicitly stated it will appeal the NFL’s decision, its executive director DeMaurice Smith informed ESPN that they questioned how Rice could be suspended indefinitely. Imposing a fine on the commissioner’s $44 million income for this violation would not be enough to quell the outrage over Rice being reinstated due to Gooddell’s incompetence and, ironically, failed foresight.
With a U.S. senator proposing bills to remove the NFL's tax exemption status a full year before any of this mess happened, the NFL owners will soon be faced with one decision: stick with Gooddell and hopes everyone forgets or preemptively protect themselves from future losses. The longer the 0's extend past the $, the longer the end game.
EXPECTED TIME PREDICTION WILL COME TO FRUITION: By December 2014